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War Squeezes the Black Sea as Russia Targets Grain and Ukraine Hits Oil Tankers

The Black Sea, a hub for global grain trade and Ukraine's economic lifeline, has been transformed this summer as attacks by both Russia and Ukraine set ships and port infrastructure ablaze at both ends of the sea. Ukraine carried out a missile and drone …

Nitish Kishor | 12 August 2026

Economists Expect Mild July Inflation Reading Despite Lingering Iran War Risks

US consumer prices likely increased moderately in July, a reading that could further reduce financial market expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates this year. The report followed news of surpriseJoblosses the prior month, with economists noting that the country's position as …

Nitish Kishor | 12 August 2026

Dollar Gains, Yen Slips as July CPI Matches Forecasts and Fed Hike Odds Fall

The dollar gained Wednesday after US consumer price inflation matched economists' expectations in July, even as traders pushed back their expectations for when the Federal Reserve is likely to raise rates. In the 12 months through July, the CPI advanced 3.4% after rising 3.5% …

Nitish Kishor | 12 August 2026

What Is a 'Doom Loop' in Economics, and How Do These Downward Spirals Start?

A doom loop describes a situation inEconomicsin which one negative condition creates a second negative condition, which in turn worsens the first or triggers a third, resulting in a self-reinforcing downward spiral. The concept draws from a broader idea popularized in early-2000s management literature, …

Nitish Kishor | 12 August 2026

Do US Election Results Actually Move the Stock Market? Here's What History Shows

While the two major US political parties differ significantly in their approach to fiscal policy, a review of historical election periods suggests the party controlling the White House and Congress has had little consistent impact on the direction of the stock market. The analysis …

Nitish Kishor | 12 August 2026

Investors Question Whether Fed Chair Warsh's Leaner Guidance Will Cost Markets

Investors are questioning whether Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh can successfully unwind decades of detailedMonetary Policycommunication without exacting a cost from financial markets. While someMarket Participantshave welcomed efforts to reduce what they view as excessive focus on Fed messaging, others argue investors have spent …

Nitish Kishor | 12 August 2026

Top Buyers and Sellers Shift Dynamics in Market on August 12

Institutional investors are taking a proactive stance in the market, with the Vickers report highlighting key buying and selling actions from August 12. Energy companies are capturing attention due to rising commodity prices, which have risen on geopolitical tensions. The shift toward energy investments …

Vinay Lochav | 12 August 2026

Investor in 1.5% of Global Companies Warns of Slowdown

Norway's sovereign wealth fund, the largest globally at $2.3 trillion, indicated that investors should not expect theBlowoutreturns seen in the first half of the year to continue indefinitely. This signal represents a significant pivot in sentiment from a fund that has stakes in around …

Vinay Lochav | 12 August 2026

Jim Cramer Identifies Key Market Indicators: Bonds, Oil, and Nvidia

Investors can better navigate market fluctuations by focusing on three critical indicators, according to Jim Cramer. He emphasizes the importance of understanding the dynamics of bonds, oil prices, and Nvidia's performance. This trifecta serves as a lens through which investors can gauge broader market …

Vinay Lochav | 12 August 2026

New York City Council Launches Probe Into Prediction Market Strategies

New York City Council has initiated a significant investigation into the marketing strategies of prediction market platforms, focusing on the promotional methods being utilized. This move, led by council speaker Julie Menin, aims to scrutinize how these platforms market their services amid growing concerns …

Vinay Lochav | 12 August 2026
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