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US-China Rivalry Enters Critical Phase as Trump-Xi Summit Approaches

With fewer than four weeks remaining before Air Force One touches down in Beijing, the May 14-15 summit between President Donald Trump and President Xi Jinping has crystallised into the most consequential bilateral meeting in nearly a decade. The visit was originally scheduled for …

Nitish Kishor | 21 April 2026

Iran War, US Midterm Elections, and Markets: A Politically Amplified Macro Cycle

The United States is fighting two battles simultaneously. One is kinetic, waged over the skies of Iran and the waters of the Strait of Hormuz. The other is political, contested across 435 congressional districts and 35 Senate seats that will be decided in November …

Nitish Kishor | 21 April 2026

US Debt Trajectory and Systemic Risk: What Markets Are Not Pricing In

Fiscal discipline has never been the defining feature of modern US governance. Yet the pace at which America's debt burden has expanded in recent years is moving beyond the realm of manageable concern into territory that seasoned economists describe as structurally unsustainable.

Nitish Kishor | 21 April 2026

Behind Marvell's Rally: Google, Nvidia, and the Custom Chip Cycle

Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL) surged nearly 6% after reports of a new Google AI chip partnership. Analysing what the custom silicon shift means for Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO), Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), and AI infrastructure capital allocation.Key HighlightsReports indicate Google is in discussions with Marvell Technology to develop two …

Nitish Kishor | 21 April 2026

Steel Dynamics (NASDAQ:STLD) Posts Record Shipments as Earnings Nearly Double

Strong steel pricing, resilient domestic demand, and a recovering fabrication backlog powered Steel Dynamics to its most productive quarter in shipment history. Aluminum remains a work in progress, but the broader capital allocation story holds firm.

Nitish Kishor | 21 April 2026

Iran War Tests UAE Dollar Peg: Why Washington Faces a Petrodollar Dilemma

The Swap Line Request That Changes the Calculus

Nitish Kishor | 21 April 2026

War Premium Unwinds, But Structural Risks in Global Equities Persist

When U.S. and Israeli forces launched strikes on Iran on February 28, 2026, triggering the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, equity markets reacted with severity. The MSCI All Country World Index fell 7.1% in March alone, while the S&P 500 declined 5% in …

Nitish Kishor | 21 April 2026

Microsoft and Meta: Can AI Capital Expenditure Justify Earnings Expectations?

April 29, 2026 carries unusual weight in equity markets. Two of the most capitalised technology companies in the world, Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), will simultaneously report their latest quarterly financial results. The reports arrive at a moment when institutional investors are beginning …

Nitish Kishor | 21 April 2026
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