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China's foreign exchange management operates through a daily fixing mechanism by which the People's Bank of China sets the central rate around which the yuan can trade within a defined band. The sequence of fixings has been allowing gradual yuan weakening while preventing the …
India's rupee has lost 13.22% year-to-date, hitting 96.89 per USD as surging oil prices, a $23 billion FPI exodus, and a recordTrade Deficitexpose the limits of RBI intervention.Key HighlightsThe rupee touched a record low of 96.89 per USD on May 20 before recovering modestly …
Goldman Sachs argument that the energy shock is more negative for Europe than the US is both accurate and important for the currency outlook. Europe imports a substantially larger fraction of its energy than the US, which has become a net energy exporter through …
The Canadian dollar's sensitivity to US economic data is a structural feature of the bilateral relationship that distinguishes it from most other G10 currency pairs. Canada directs approximately 75% of its exports to the United States and imports a similar fraction of its goods …
Sterling's difficulties reflect two reinforcing pressures. The first is external: the Iran conflict's oil price shock has increased the UK'sImportbill, widened the current accountDeficit, and generatedInflationthat complicates Bank of England policy. The second is internal: a political environment characterised byLeadershipuncertainty, conflicting fiscal signals, and …
Japan's Ministry of Finance has intervened in currency markets on multiple occasions in recent years to slow yenDepreciation, most notably in 2022 when the currency was falling rapidly. The effectiveness of intervention in the current context is limited by the same factor that limits …
Singapore extraordinary April export performance reflects structural advantages that become more rather than less valuable in a world of trade fragmentation and conflict-related route disruption. As the pre-eminent trade hub of Southeast Asia, Singapore sits at the intersection of trade routes connecting East Asia, …
Oil and Yields Are Sending the Same Warning
China is the world's largest manufacturing economy, its largest commodity importer, and the most consequential source of external demand for economies across Asia, Europe, Africa, and the Americas. When its consumption, investment, and property market all deteriorate simultaneously and miss consensus by a materialMargin, …
The interception of drones launched from Iraqi airspace illustrates what military analysts call the conflict's proxy dimension: Iran's ability to project force beyond its own borders through allied non-state actors in Iraq, Yemen, Lebanon, and Syria. This proxy network was one of the primary …
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