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Inflation's Return Is Sending Sell Signals That Bulls Can No Longer Ignore

The bull case for US equities entering 2026 rested on a relatively straightforward set of assumptions: inflation would continue its post-2022 decline toward the Fed's 2% target, theCentral Bankwould respond with rate cuts that would reduce the discount rate applied to futureEarnings, and the …

Nitish Kishor | 20 May 2026

Pakistan Deploys Forces to Saudi Arabia as Iran War Draws in Regional Powers

The deployment of a Pakistani jet squadron and thousands of troops to Saudi Arabia marks a qualitative shift in the regional character of the US-Iran conflict. What began as a bilateral confrontation between Washington and Tehran has progressively drawn in the Gulf Cooperation Council …

Nitish Kishor | 20 May 2026

S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq Slip as Inflation and Treasury Yield Fears Rise

The simultaneous wavering of the S&P 500, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, and the Nasdaq Composite in Monday's session conceals meaningfully different stories within each index. The Nasdaq's underperformance, relative to both its own recent trend and the other indices, is the most analytically …

Nitish Kishor | 20 May 2026

Bessent to G7: Align on Iran Sanctions or Undermine the Entire Regime

Scott Bessent's plan to call on G7 nations to align with the US sanctions regime against Iran addresses a structural vulnerability that has characterised Western economic pressure campaigns for decades: the gap between the headline stringency of sanctions and their practical effectiveness when enforcement …

Nitish Kishor | 20 May 2026

ETFs and Futures Slide as Iran Stalemate Meets Inflation Anxiety

Pre-market moves in ETFs and futures are imperfect but informative instruments. They reflect the positioning of institutional investors who are reacting to overnight news flow and recalibrating exposures before the cash market opens. Monday's pre-bell decline across equity futures had two clear drivers: the …

Nitish Kishor | 20 May 2026

Bond Vigilantes Return: Will Kevin Warsh Turn Hawkish as Treasury Yields Surge?

The bond vigilante concept entered the financial lexicon in the early 1990s, when James Carville, an adviser to President Clinton, famously remarked that if he were to be reincarnated, he would want to come back as the bond market because it could intimidate everybody. …

Nitish Kishor | 20 May 2026

China Confirms 200 Boeing Jets: Is the Decade-Long Aviation Freeze Finally Over?

China has confirmed a 200-aircraft Boeing order and signalled an extension of its trade truce with the United States. The deal marks Boeing's first major Chinese purchase in nearly a decade, but the structural dynamics of the bilateral relationship remain far more complex than …

Nitish Kishor | 20 May 2026

Power of Siberia 2: Can Russia and China Resolve a Pricing Standoff in a Crisis?

A Pipeline Revival Timed to Geopolitical Turbulence

Nitish Kishor | 20 May 2026

Senate War Powers Vote on Iran Raises Geopolitical Risk and Oil Market Uncertainty

The U.S. Senate advanced a war powers resolution 50-47 to curb Trump's authority over the Iran conflict, signalling rising congressional friction, oil market disruption, and political risk ahead of the 2026 midterms.Key HighlightsSenate advanced a war powers resolution 50-47, with four Republicans crossing party …

Nitish Kishor | 20 May 2026

SpaceX Eyes $1.75 Trillion Market Debut as Goldman Secures Lead Left Mandate

Goldman Sachs secures the lead left position on SpaceX's landmark IPO, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation in what could be the largest stock market flotation in history. Here is what institutional investors need to know.Key HighlightsGoldman Sachs named lead left underwriter; Morgan Stanley, Bank …

Nitish Kishor | 20 May 2026
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