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The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF, trading under the ticker TLT, holds a portfolio of long-duration US Treasury bonds. Because bond prices and yields move in opposite directions, and because longer-duration bonds are more sensitive toYieldchanges than shorter-dated ones, TLT tends to see …
August's jobs report added 162,000 positions while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%, a combination that reflects a labor market still expanding but not overheating. That reading sits at the center of how Friday's September report will be interpreted: a similar or stronger print …
The Shiller cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio, developed to smooth out the distortions of single-year earnings swings by averaging inflation-adjusted profits over a rolling 10-year period, has now stayed above 40 for only the second time in its long historical record. The only comparable period …
A forward price-to-earnings ratio is simply the current share price divided by expected forward earnings, so when earnings grow faster than share prices, the resulting multiple compresses even if the market itself is rising in absolute terms. With S&P 500 profits up 28.9% and …
The S&P 500 ended Friday at 7,743.41, with the Dow at 51,828.62, the Nasdaq at 27,068.72 and the Russell 2000 at 2,837.55. That broad-based strength across large-cap, mega-cap and small-cap benchmarks puts the index in position to finish the third quarter near its recent …
Market historians frequently point to a consistent pattern following US midterm elections dating back to 1950, in which the S&P 500 has posted gains in the twelve months after the election in every cycle on record, with average returns in that period notably above …
Mortgage rates crossing back above 7% would be notable on its own, but the more significant detail is that the increase has now persisted for five consecutive weeks. A single week of higher rates can reflect short-term volatility; a five-week streak indicates a sustained …
October's status as a feared month for stocks traces back to a handful of historically outsized crashes rather than a consistent pattern of weak average returns across all Octobers. Over long historical samples, October's average monthly return is not meaningfully worse than other months, …
October's status as a feared month for stocks traces back to a handful of historically outsized crashes rather than a consistent pattern of weak average returns across all Octobers. Over long historical samples, October's average monthly return is not meaningfully worse than other months, …
While headline inflation coverage often centers on the Consumer Price Index, the Federal Reserve's preferred gauge is the core Personal Consumption Expenditures index, which strips out volatile food and energy prices and uses a different weighting methodology that better captures how consumers actually shift …
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