Key Highlights

● ADM closed at $79.79 on 9 October 2026, and the second data set's $80.40 mean target implies upside of only about 0.8%.

● Market data shows a consensus of $79.67 from eight analysts, with targets from $63 to $95.

● Analysts rate the stock Hold, with two Buy, five Hold and one Sell rating in market data.

● Jefferies upgraded the shares to Hold on 29 September, and Morgan Stanley upgraded to Equal Weight with a $79 target on 5 August.

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (NYSE:ADM), the agricultural processor, is a member of the S&P 500. The shares closed at $79.79 on Friday 9 October 2026, almost exactly at the analyst consensus target.

What Is the Latest Analyst Price Target?

The consensus target is $79.67, about 0.1% below the close, from eight analysts. The high is $95 (UBS) and the low is $63 (BMO Capital Markets). The second data set, using third-party data, shows a mean of $80.40, a median of $82.50, a high of $95 and a low of $60 from 11 analysts.

The two means are close, so the choice matters little. Against the $79.79 close, the the second data set mean of $80.40 suggests potential upside of only about 0.8%.

What Are Wall Street Analysts Saying?

Market data counts two Buy ratings, five Hold and one Sell, a Hold consensus. The second data set also shows Hold.

Market data lists few named target changes in the last three months. On 29 September, Jefferies upgraded the shares to Hold. On 5 August, Morgan Stanley upgraded from Underweight to Equal Weight and raised its target to $79 from $60, and Barclays raised to $90 from $85 (Equal Weight). Older actions include UBS raising to $95 (Buy) in June and JPMorgan raising to $74 (Underweight) in May.

Non-broker rating services were mixed. One upgraded the stock to Buy (B-) on 8 October, while another downgraded it from Strong Buy to Hold on 5 October.

What Could Help the Stock Reach the Price Target?

Market data says the most recent quarter delivered earnings of $1.84 per share against $1.49 expected and that full-year 2026 guidance of $5.15 to $5.60 per share was above the prior consensus.

If earnings keep beating forecasts, the analysts with lower targets, such as BMO at $63 and JPMorgan at $74, may revise upward. The Morgan Stanley upgrade and the large August target increase show that sentiment has improved from a low base.

What Could Prevent the Stock Reaching the Target?

The shares already trade almost exactly at the consensus target, which leaves limited upside on these figures. Five of eight analysts on market data rate the stock Hold, and one has a Sell.

Agricultural processors depend on crop volumes, commodity prices, biofuel policy, trade restrictions and processing margins. A weaker margin environment or regulatory change could lead to lower targets. With so few recent named target changes, the consensus may also be out of date.

What Should Investors Watch Next?

Biofuel policy, crop margins, new broker ratings and further guidance updates will be important to follow.

Archer-Daniels-Midland Sits on Its Consensus With Few Fresh Broker Signals

Archer-Daniels-Midland closed at $79.79 on 9 October 2026, essentially level with the $79.67 consensus target and about 0.8% below the second data set's $80.40 mean. Five of eight analysts in market data rate the stock Hold and one has a Sell, while the few recent named changes, Jefferies' upgrade to Hold and Morgan Stanley's August move to $79, suggest sentiment improving from a low base. With so little recent named activity the consensus may be out of date, and biofuel policy and crop margins are the factors most likely to test it.