VanEck Gold Miners ETF

The Fund seeks to match as closely as possible the price and yield performance of the AMEX Gold Miners Index. The Fund, utilizing a "passive" or indexing investment approach, attempts to approximate the investment performance of the Index by investing in a portfolio of stocks that generally replicate the Index. 

Technical Observation (on the weekly chart): 

GDX's price action has recently faced resistance at a rising trendline, which led to a decline in the price. However, the price has shown resilience at its lower end, and subsequently moved higher, indicating a possibility of further range-bound movement in the near term. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also moving above its mid-point, providing additional support for this optimistic outlook. Moreover, the price has found support at its 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and rebounded higher, further reinforcing the positive bias. 

Individuals can evaluate the ETF based on the support and resistance levels provided in the report in case of keen interest taking into consideration the risk-reward scenario. 

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Related Risk: This report may be looked at from a high-risk perspective and a recommendation is provided for a short duration. This report is solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the ETFs has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the ETF prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc. 

How to Read the Charts?

The green colour line reflects the 21-period simple moving average (SMA) while the red line indicates the 50- period simple moving average (SMA). SMA helps to identify existing price trends. If the prices are trading above the 21-period and 50-period moving average, then it shows prices are currently trading in a bullish trend.

The black colour line in the chart’s lower segment reflects the Relative Strength Index (14-Period) which indicates price momentum and signals momentum in trend. A reading of 70 or above suggests overbought status while a reading of 30 or below suggests an oversold status.

The blue bars in the chart’s lower segment show the volume of the ETF. The volume is the number of shares that changed hands during a given day. ETFs with high volumes are more liquid than ETFs with lesser volume as liquidity in ETFs helps with easier and faster execution of the order.

The Orange colour lines are the trend lines drawn by connecting two or more price points and used for trend identification purposes. The trend line also acts as a line of support and resistance.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the ETF prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the ETF and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the ETF. 

Resistance: A level at which the ETF prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Resistance 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the ETF and if the price surpasses the level, then Resistance 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the ETF. 

Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the ETF prices. 

Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance. 

The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is Aug 12, 2024 (11:28 am PDT). The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV. 

Abbreviations

CMP: Current Market Price

SMA: Simple Moving Average

RSI: Relative Strength Index

USD: United States dollar 

Note: Trading decisions require a thorough analysis by individual. Technical reports in general chart out metrics that may be assessed by individuals before any ETF evaluation. The above are illustrative analytical factors used for evaluating ETFs; other parameters can be looked at along with additional risks per se. Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.