Lucid Group Inc

Lucid Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: LCID) is a technology and automotive company. The Company is focused on designing, developing, manufacturing, and selling of electric vehicles (EV), EV powertrains and battery systems using its own equipment and factories. It offers its own geographically distributed retail and service locations and through direct-to-consumer online and retail sales.

Recent Financial and Business Updates:

• In the fourth quarter, Lucid delivered 1,734 vehicles, marking a 37% increase compared to the full year of 2022, with a total of 6,001 vehicles delivered throughout 2023. The company produced 2,391 vehicles in Q4 and 8,428 vehicles over the course of 2023, meeting the higher end of its annual production guidance, which ranged from 8,000 to 8,500 vehicles. Looking ahead, Lucid has set a production target of approximately 9,000 vehicles for 2024 and remains committed to adjusting production levels to align with sales and delivery demands.
• In terms of financial performance, Lucid reported fourth quarter revenue of USD157.2 million and annual revenue of USD595.3 million. The company ended the quarter with approximately USD4.78 billion in total liquidity, providing a solid financial foundation for future growth initiatives.
• Peter Rawlinson, Lucid's CEO and CTO, emphasized the company's strategic investments in technology, manufacturing, and partnerships to solidify its position as a leading luxury EV brand. Rawlinson expressed excitement about the upcoming year, highlighting Lucid's entry into the next transformative phase of its vehicle lineup and its continued focus on expansion.
• Gagan Dhingra, Lucid's Interim Chief Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer, echoed Rawlinson's sentiments, emphasizing Lucid's outperformance relative to its total addressable market and progress in cost optimization efforts. Dhingra expressed optimism about prospects, citing the scheduled start of production for the Gravity model in late 2024 and the planned production launch for the high-volume midsize platform in late 2026.

Technical Observation (on the daily chart)

Presently, the stock has corrected by approximately 67.99% since reaching its highest point in the past 52 weeks, which occurred on April 12, 2023. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) over a 14-day period stands at 39.24, indicating a state of potential consolidation or a short-term upward momentum. This upward momentum might take the stock closer to a decent resistance level at USD 3.50-USD 3.80. Additionally, the stock's current positioning is below both the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 50-day SMA, which may serve as dynamic short-term resistance levels.  ­­­    

As per the above-mentioned price action, recent key business and financial updates, momentum in the stock over the last month, and technical indicators analysis, a ‘Speculative Buy’ rating has been given to Lucid Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: LCID) at the closing market price of USD 2.77 as of March 22, 2024.

Individuals can evaluate the stock based on the support and resistance levels provided in the report in case of keen interest taking into consideration the risk-reward scenario.

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Related Risk: This report may be looked at from a high-risk perspective and a recommendation is provided for a short duration. This report is solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc. 

How to Read the Charts?

The yellow colour line reflects the 21-period simple moving average (SMA) while the blue line indicates the 50- period simple moving average (SMA). SMA helps to identify existing price trends. If the prices are trading above the 21-period and 50-period moving average, then it shows prices are currently trading in a bullish trend.

The orange colour line in the chart’s lower segment reflects the Relative Strength Index (14-Period) which indicates price momentum and signals momentum in trend. A reading of 70 or above suggests overbought status while a reading of 30 or below suggests an oversold status.

The red and green colour bars in the chart’s lower segment show the volume of the stock. The volume is the number of shares that changed hands during a given day. Stocks with high volumes are more liquid than stocks with lesser volume as liquidity in stocks helps with easier and faster execution of the order.

The Orange colour lines are the trend lines drawn by connecting two or more price points and used for trend identification purposes. The trend line also acts as a line of support and resistance.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock. 

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Resistance 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Resistance 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock. 

Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices. 

Abbreviations

CMP: Current Market Price

SMA: Simple Moving Average

RSI: Relative Strength Index

USD: United States dollar

Note: Trading decisions require a thorough analysis by individual. Technical reports in general chart out metrics that may be assessed by individuals before any stock evaluation. The above are illustrative analytical factors used for evaluating the stocks; other parameters can be looked at along with additional risks per se. Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance level is March 22, 2024. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Note 4: Target Price refers to a price level that the stock is expected to reach as per the relative valuation method and or technical analysis taking into consideration both short-term and long-term scenarios.

Note 5: ‘Kalkine reports are prepared based on the stock prices captured either from the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), NASDAQ Capital Markets (NASDAQ), and or REFINITIV. Typically, all sources (NYSE, NASDAQ, or REFINITIV) may reflect stock prices with a delay which could be a lag of 15-20 minutes. There can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with the information provided in the report. The information is subject to change without any prior notice.’