Key Highlights

● Autodesk closed at $239.90 on October 16, trading below the analyst target.

● The consensus 12-month price target is $307.54, implying about 28.2% upside.

● Analysts are split 30 Buy, 6 Hold, and 0 Sell on the stock.

● Targets range from $215 to $375 across 36 analysts.

Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), a member of the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq-100, closed at $239.90 on October 16, 2026, down 2.15% on the day. The mean analyst price target of $307.54 implies upside of about 28.2%, according to market data. The shares are trading well below their 52-week high of $320.00 and have drawn attention after a weak September for large-cap software.

What Is the Latest Analyst Price Target?

Across 36 analysts, the mean target is $307.54 and the median $302.50. The highest target is $375 and the lowest $215. The consensus target suggests substantial upside, although we note that the analyst data on the source page were last updated around 6 to 12 October, which predates the latest close. Targets may therefore not fully reflect the most recent share price move.

What Are Analysts Saying?

The consensus rating is Buy, with 30 analysts at Buy or Strong Buy, six at Hold and none at Sell. Recent actions include Citi maintaining a Hold with a $276 target on 6 October, Piper Sandler reiterating Buy with a target cut to $300 from $338 on 28 September, and Wells Fargo maintaining Buy at $330 on 18 September. BMO Capital held a Hold at $283 and Bank of America reiterated Buy at $300 on the same date.

What Could Help the Stock Reach the Price Target?

Bulls point to Autodesk's push into agentic AI across its three industry clouds, a new leader for its architecture, engineering and construction business, and partnerships such as the one with Eaton. If subscription growth and margins hold up and AI features strengthen customer retention, the shares could narrow the gap to the consensus target.

What Could Prevent the Stock Reaching the Target?

Autodesk's August guidance for the next quarter came in below Wall Street estimates, and the shares dipped as a result. The stock was also listed among the worst performers in the S&P 500 in September. Continued software-sector weakness, a cautious corporate spending backdrop or further guidance disappointments could keep the shares below the consensus level. Even the lowest target of $215 is only about 10% below the current price.

What Should Investors Watch Next?

The next earnings report is estimated for November 24, 2026. Investors may watch guidance for the remainder of the fiscal year, any further target revisions after the recent share-price decline, and progress on AI product monetisation.

Room to Close the Gap

With a consensus target of $307.54 about 28.2% above the latest close, analysts as a group appear constructive on Autodesk, but the shares have lost ground and recent guidance was cautious. If the consensus proves accurate, there would be meaningful upside, but outcomes can differ widely from forecasts.