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Kalkine Bearish Chart Report

Headwater Exploration

Dec 06, 2023

HWX:TSX
Investment Type
Small-Cap
Risk Level
Action
Rec. Price (CA$)

Company Overview: Headwater Exploration (TSX: HWX) is an energy company focused on finding, extracting, and bringing to market oil and natural gas. This Report covers the Price Action, Technical Indicators Analysis along with the Support Levels, Resistance Level, and Trend Indication on this one stock. Noted below is the illustrative bearish score based on technical indicators for the stock:

Technical Observation (on the daily chart)

HWX's stock price breached its critical support zone and plunged, suggesting a high probability of continued downward pressure in the near term. This bearish trend is solidified by the price trading beneath its 21-period and 50-period SMAs, reinforcing the negative sentiment. Additionally, the 14-period RSI's descent towards the midpoint amplifies the bearish conviction.

 Conclusion

Based on the above-mentioned price action and technical indicators analysis, Headwater Exploration (TSX: HWX) may witness a downside movement in the near future. The trend looks to be in an interesting space, and the stock looks ‘Bearish’ at the close price of CAD 6.62 as on December 05, 2023. 

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while making investment decisions.

Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Note 2: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual’s appetite for upside potential, risks, and any previous holdings. This report is purely based on technical analysis, and fundamental analysis has not been considered in this report.

Note 3: Related Risks: This report may be looked at from a high-risk perspective, and directions are provided for a short duration. The analysis provided in this report is solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact on stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc. 

Note 4: How to Read the Charts?

The Green colour line reflects the 21-period moving average, while the red line indicates the 50-period moving average. SMA helps to identify existing price trends. If the prices are trading below the 21-period and 50-period moving averages, then it shows prices are currently trading in a bearish trend. 

The Black colour line in the chart’s lower segment reflects the Relative Strength Index (14-Period) which indicates price momentum and signals momentum in trend. A reading of 70 or above suggests overbought status while a reading of 30 or below suggests an oversold status.

The Blue colour bars in the chart’s lower segment show the volume of the stock. The volume is the number of shares that changed hands during a given day. Stocks with high volumes are more liquid than stocks with lesser volume as liquidity in stocks helps with easier and faster execution of the order.

The Orange colour lines are the trend lines drawn by connecting two or more price points and used for trend identification purposes. The trend line also acts as a line of support and resistance.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock.

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.

Parabolic SAR: Parabolic SAR is a trend-following indicator that acts as a trailing stop. If the price stops rising and reverses below SAR, it indicates the start of a downtrend with SAR above the price following like a trailing stop. Similarly, if the prices stop falling and move above SAR, it indicates the start of an uptrend with SAR below the price following like a trailing stop.

MACD-Histogram: Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)-Histogram is the difference between the MACD and its signal line. A positive value of the MACD-Histogram indicates a positive crossover between MACD and its signal line, whereas a negative value indicates a negative crossover.

The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is December 05, 2023. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV. 

Abbreviations

CMP: Current Market Price

SMA: Simple Moving Average

CAD: Canadian Dollar

RSI: Relative Strength Index

Note: Trading decisions require a thorough analysis by individuals. Technical reports in general chart out metrics that may be assessed by individuals before any stock evaluation. The above are illustrative analytical factors used for evaluating stocks; other parameters can be looked at along with additional risks per se. Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance. 


Disclaimer-

Kalkine Equities LLC provides general information about companies and their securities. The information contained in the reports, including any recommendations regarding the value of or transactions in any securities, does not take into account any of your investment objectives, financial situation or needs. Kalkine Equities LLC is not registered as an investment adviser in the U.S. with either the federal or state government. Before you make a decision about whether to invest in any securities, you should take into account your own objectives, financial situation and needs and seek independent financial advice. All information in our reports represents our views as at the date of publication and may change without notice.

Kalkine Media LLC, an affiliate of Kalkine Equities LLC, may have received, or be entitled to receive, financial consideration in connection with providing information about certain entity(s) covered on its website.